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A Markov-switching model of inflation: looking at the future during uncertain times

In this paper, we analyze the dynamic of inflation in Venezuela, during the last eighteen years, through a Markov-switching estimation of a New Keynesian Phillips curve. Estimation is carried out using the EM algorithm. The model´s estimates distinguish between a "normal or backward looking" regime...

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Bibliografiske detaljer
Udgivet i:Análisis Económico
Principais autores: Carolina Pagliacci, Daniel Barráez
Format: Artigo
Sprog:Inglês
Udgivet: Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana 2010
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Online adgang:https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=41315994005
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