Time Series Analysis and Forecasting of the Hand-Foot-Mouth Disease Morbidity in China Using An Advanced Exponential Smoothing State Space TBATS Model

OBJECTIVE: The high morbidity, complex seasonality, and recurring risk of hand-foot-and-mouth disease (HFMD) exert a major burden in China. Forecasting its epidemic trends is greatly instrumental in informing vaccine and targeted interventions. This study sets out to investigate the usefulness of an...

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Bibliografiske detaljer
Udgivet i:Infect Drug Resist
Main Authors: Yu, Chongchong, Xu, Chunjie, Li, Yuhong, Yao, Sanqiao, Bai, Yichun, Li, Jizhen, Wang, Lei, Wu, Weidong, Wang, Yongbin
Format: Artigo
Sprog:Inglês
Udgivet: Dove 2021
Fag:
Original Research
Online adgang:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8312251/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34321897
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.2147/IDR.S304652
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