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Modeling Provincial Covid-19 Epidemic Data Using an Adjusted Time-Dependent SIRD Model

In this paper, we develop a forecasting model for the spread of COVID-19 infection at a provincial (i.e., EU NUTS-3) level in Italy by using official data from the Italian Ministry of Health integrated with data extracted from daily official press conferences of regional authorities and local newspa...

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Vydáno v:Int J Environ Res Public Health
Hlavní autoři: Ferrari, Luisa, Gerardi, Giuseppe, Manzi, Giancarlo, Micheletti, Alessandra, Nicolussi, Federica, Biganzoli, Elia, Salini, Silvia
Médium: Artigo
Jazyk:Inglês
Vydáno: MDPI 2021
Témata:
On-line přístup:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8296340/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34207174
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18126563
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