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How well did experts and laypeople forecast the size of the COVID-19 pandemic?

Throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, social and traditional media have disseminated predictions from experts and nonexperts about its expected magnitude. How accurate were the predictions of ‘experts’—individuals holding occupations or roles in subject-relevant fields, such as epidemiologists and stati...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Publicado no:PLoS One
Main Authors: Recchia, Gabriel, Freeman, Alexandra L. J., Spiegelhalter, David
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicado em: Public Library of Science 2021
Assuntos:
Acesso em linha:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8099086/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33951092
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0250935
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