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Time-dependent heterogeneity leads to transient suppression of the COVID-19 epidemic, not herd immunity

Epidemics generally spread through a succession of waves that reflect factors on multiple timescales. On short timescales, superspreading events lead to burstiness and overdispersion, whereas long-term persistent heterogeneity in susceptibility is expected to lead to a reduction in both the infectio...

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Bibliografske podrobnosti
izdano v:Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
Main Authors: Tkachenko, Alexei V., Maslov, Sergei, Elbanna, Ahmed, Wong, George N., Weiner, Zachary J., Goldenfeld, Nigel
Format: Artigo
Jezik:Inglês
Izdano: National Academy of Sciences 2021
Teme:
Online dostop:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8092384/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33833080
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2015972118
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