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Forecasting COVID-19 cases based on a parameter-varying stochastic SIR model

We address the prediction of the number of new cases and deaths for the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) over a future horizon from historical data (forecasting). We use a model-based approach based on a stochastic Susceptible–Infections–Removed (SIR) model with time-varying parameters, which cap...

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Библиографические подробности
Опубликовано в: :Annu Rev Control
Главные авторы: Hespanha, João P., Chinchilla, Raphael, Costa, Ramon R., Erdal, Murat K., Yang, Guosong
Формат: Artigo
Язык:Inglês
Опубликовано: Published by Elsevier Ltd. 2021
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Online-ссылка:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8030732/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33850441
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.arcontrol.2021.03.008
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