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‘Dark matter’, second waves and epidemiological modelling

Recent reports using conventional Susceptible, Exposed, Infected and Removed models suggest that the next wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in the UK could overwhelm health services, with fatalities exceeding the first wave. We used Bayesian model comparison to revisit these conclusions, allowing for he...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Publicado no:BMJ Glob Health
Main Authors: Friston, Karl, Costello, Anthony, Pillay, Deenan
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicado em: BMJ Publishing Group 2020
Assuntos:
Acesso em linha:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7745338/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33328201
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2020-003978
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