Cyclic epidemics and extreme outbreaks induced by hydro-climatic variability and memory

A minimalist model of ecohydrologic dynamics is coupled to the well-known susceptible–infected–recovered epidemiological model to explore hydro-climatic controls on infection dynamics and extreme outbreaks. The resulting HYSIR model reveals the existence of a noise-induced bifurcation producing osci...

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Veröffentlicht in:J R Soc Interface
Hauptverfasser: Hooshyar, Milad, Wagner, Caroline E., Baker, Rachel E., Metcalf, C. Jessica E., Grenfell, Bryan T., Porporato, Amilcare
Format: Artigo
Sprache:Inglês
Veröffentlicht: The Royal Society 2020
Schlagworte:
Life Sciences–Earth Science interface
Online Zugang:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7653386/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33081643
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2020.0521
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