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Super-spreading events initiated the exponential growth phase of COVID-19 with ℛ(0) higher than initially estimated

The basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] of the coronavirus disease 2019 has been estimated to range between 2 and 4. Here, we used an SEIR model that properly accounts for the distribution of the latent period and, based on empirical estimates of the doubling time in the near-exponential p...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Publicado no:R Soc Open Sci
Main Authors: Kochańczyk, Marek, Grabowski, Frederic, Lipniacki, Tomasz
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicado em: The Royal Society 2020
Assuntos:
Acesso em linha:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7540800/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33047040
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.200786
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