Piecewise quadratic growth during the 2019 novel coronavirus epidemic

The temporal growth in the number of deaths in the COVID-19 epidemic is subexponential. Here we show that a piecewise quadratic law provides an excellent fit during the thirty days after the first three fatalities on January 20 and later since the end of March 2020. There is also a brief intermediat...

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Bibliografiske detaljer
Udgivet i:Infect Dis Model
Hovedforfatter: Brandenburg, Axel
Format: Artigo
Sprog:Inglês
Udgivet: KeAi Publishing 2020
Fag:
Special issue on Modelling and Forecasting the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Transmission; Edited by Prof. Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Prof. Gerardo Chowell-Puente, Prof. Ping Yan, Prof. Jianhong Wu
Online adgang:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7485523/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32954094
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2020.08.014
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