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Inferring change points in the spread of COVID-19 reveals the effectiveness of interventions

As COVID-19 is rapidly spreading across the globe, short-term modeling forecasts provide time-critical information for decisions on containment and mitigation strategies. A major challenge for short-term forecasts is the assessment of key epidemiological parameters and how they change when first int...

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Pubblicato in:Science
Autori principali: Dehning, Jonas, Zierenberg, Johannes, Spitzner, F. Paul, Wibral, Michael, Neto, Joao Pinheiro, Wilczek, Michael, Priesemann, Viola
Natura: Artigo
Lingua:Inglês
Pubblicazione: American Association for the Advancement of Science 2020
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Accesso online:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7239331/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32414780
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.abb9789
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