Why is it difficult to accurately predict the COVID-19 epidemic?

Since the COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan City in December of 2019, numerous model predictions on the COVID-19 epidemics in Wuhan and other parts of China have been reported. These model predictions have shown a wide range of variations. In our study, we demonstrate that nonidentifiability in model calib...

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Veröffentlicht in:Infect Dis Model
Hauptverfasser: Roda, Weston C., Varughese, Marie B., Han, Donglin, Li, Michael Y.
Format: Artigo
Sprache:Inglês
Veröffentlicht: KeAi Publishing 2020
Schlagworte:
Special issue on Modelling and Forecasting the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Transmission; Edited by Prof. Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Prof. Gerardo Chowell-Puente, Prof. Ping Yan, Prof. Jianhong Wu
Online Zugang:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7104073/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32289100
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2020.03.001
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