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A novel sub-epidemic modeling framework for short-term forecasting epidemic waves

BACKGROUND: Simple phenomenological growth models can be useful for estimating transmission parameters and forecasting epidemic trajectories. However, most existing phenomenological growth models only support single-peak outbreak dynamics whereas real epidemics often display more complex transmissio...

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Bibliografiske detaljer
Udgivet i:BMC Med
Main Authors: Chowell, Gerardo, Tariq, Amna, Hyman, James M.
Format: Artigo
Sprog:Inglês
Udgivet: BioMed Central 2019
Fag:
Online adgang:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6704534/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31438953
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12916-019-1406-6
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