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Real-Time Forecasting of Hand-Foot-and-Mouth Disease Outbreaks using the Integrating Compartment Model and Assimilation Filtering

Hand-foot-and-mouth disease (HFMD) is a highly contagious viral infection, and real-time predicting of HFMD outbreaks will facilitate the timely implementation of appropriate control measures. By integrating a susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered (SEIR) model and an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF)...

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Kaydedildi:
Detaylı Bibliyografya
Yayımlandı:Sci Rep
Asıl Yazarlar: Zhan, Zhicheng, Dong, Weihua, Lu, Yongmei, Yang, Peng, Wang, Quanyi, Jia, Peng
Materyal Türü: Artigo
Dil:Inglês
Baskı/Yayın Bilgisi: Nature Publishing Group UK 2019
Konular:
Online Erişim:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6389963/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30804467
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-38930-y
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