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Assessing the performance of real-time epidemic forecasts: A case study of Ebola in the Western Area region of Sierra Leone, 2014-15

Real-time forecasts based on mathematical models can inform critical decision-making during infectious disease outbreaks. Yet, epidemic forecasts are rarely evaluated during or after the event, and there is little guidance on the best metrics for assessment. Here, we propose an evaluation approach t...

תיאור מלא

שמור ב:
מידע ביבליוגרפי
הוצא לאור ב:PLoS Comput Biol
Main Authors: Funk, Sebastian, Camacho, Anton, Kucharski, Adam J., Lowe, Rachel, Eggo, Rosalind M., Edmunds, W. John
פורמט: Artigo
שפה:Inglês
יצא לאור: Public Library of Science 2019
נושאים:
גישה מקוונת:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6386417/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30742608
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006785
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