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Assessing the performance of real-time epidemic forecasts: A case study of Ebola in the Western Area region of Sierra Leone, 2014-15

Real-time forecasts based on mathematical models can inform critical decision-making during infectious disease outbreaks. Yet, epidemic forecasts are rarely evaluated during or after the event, and there is little guidance on the best metrics for assessment. Here, we propose an evaluation approach t...

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Veröffentlicht in:PLoS Comput Biol
Hauptverfasser: Funk, Sebastian, Camacho, Anton, Kucharski, Adam J., Lowe, Rachel, Eggo, Rosalind M., Edmunds, W. John
Format: Artigo
Sprache:Inglês
Veröffentlicht: Public Library of Science 2019
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Online Zugang:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6386417/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30742608
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006785
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