Forecasting life expectancy, years of life lost, and all-cause and cause-specific mortality for 250 causes of death: reference and alternative scenarios for 2016–40 for 195 countries and territories

BACKGROUND: Understanding potential trajectories in health and drivers of health is crucial to guiding long-term investments and policy implementation. Past work on forecasting has provided an incomplete landscape of future health scenarios, highlighting a need for a more robust modelling platform f...

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Publicado no:Lancet
Main Authors: Foreman, Kyle J, Marquez, Neal, Dolgert, Andrew, Fukutaki, Kai, Fullman, Nancy, McGaughey, Madeline, Pletcher, Martin A, Smith, Amanda E, Tang, Kendrick, Yuan, Chun-Wei, Brown, Jonathan C, Friedman, Joseph, He, Jiawei, Heuton, Kyle R, Holmberg, Mollie, Patel, Disha J, Reidy, Patrick, Carter, Austin, Cercy, Kelly, Chapin, Abigail, Douwes-Schultz, Dirk, Frank, Tahvi, Goettsch, Falko, Liu, Patrick Y, Nandakumar, Vishnu, Reitsma, Marissa B, Reuter, Vince, Sadat, Nafis, Sorensen, Reed J D, Srinivasan, Vinay, Updike, Rachel L, York, Hunter, Lopez, Alan D, Lozano, Rafael, Lim, Stephen S, Mokdad, Ali H, Vollset, Stein Emil, Murray, Christopher J L
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicado em: Elsevier 2018
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Article
Acesso em linha:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6227505/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30340847
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)31694-5
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