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Bayesian selection of misspecified models is overconfident and may cause spurious posterior probabilities for phylogenetic trees

The Bayesian method is noted to produce spuriously high posterior probabilities for phylogenetic trees in analysis of large datasets, but the precise reasons for this overconfidence are unknown. In general, the performance of Bayesian selection of misspecified models is poorly understood, even thoug...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Publicado no:Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
Main Authors: Yang, Ziheng, Zhu, Tianqi
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicado em: National Academy of Sciences 2018
Assuntos:
Acesso em linha:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5828583/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29432193
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1712673115
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