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Structural decomposition of decadal climate prediction errors: A Bayesian approach

Decadal climate predictions use initialized coupled model simulations that are typically affected by a drift toward a biased climatology determined by systematic model errors. Model drifts thus reflect a fundamental source of uncertainty in decadal climate predictions. However, their analysis has so...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Publicado no:Sci Rep
Main Authors: Zanchettin, Davide, Gaetan, Carlo, Arisido, Maeregu Woldeyes, Modali, Kameswarrao, Toniazzo, Thomas, Keenlyside, Noel, Rubino, Angelo
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicado em: Nature Publishing Group UK 2017
Assuntos:
Acesso em linha:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5634475/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28993698
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-13144-2
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