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Limits of Risk Predictability in a Cascading Alternating Renewal Process Model

Most risk analysis models systematically underestimate the probability and impact of catastrophic events (e.g., economic crises, natural disasters, and terrorism) by not taking into account interconnectivity and interdependence of risks. To address this weakness, we propose the Cascading Alternating...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Publicado no:Sci Rep
Main Authors: Lin, Xin, Moussawi, Alaa, Korniss, Gyorgy, Bakdash, Jonathan Z., Szymanski, Boleslaw K.
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicado em: Nature Publishing Group UK 2017
Assuntos:
Acesso em linha:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5532259/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28751680
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-06873-x
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