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Use and Communication of Probabilistic Forecasts

Probabilistic forecasts are becoming more and more available. How should they be used and communicated? What are the obstacles to their use in practice? I review experience with five problems where probabilistic forecasting played an important role. This leads me to identify five types of potential...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Publicado no:Stat Anal Data Min
Autor principal: Raftery, Adrian E.
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicado em: 2016
Assuntos:
Acesso em linha:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5403155/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28446941
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1002/sam.11302
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