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Future life expectancy in 35 industrialised countries: projections with a Bayesian model ensemble

BACKGROUND: Projections of future mortality and life expectancy are needed to plan for health and social services and pensions. Our aim was to forecast national age-specific mortality and life expectancy using an approach that takes into account the uncertainty related to the choice of forecasting m...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Publicado no:Lancet
Main Authors: Kontis, Vasilis, Bennett, James E, Mathers, Colin D, Li, Guangquan, Foreman, Kyle, Ezzati, Majid
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicado em: Elsevier 2017
Assuntos:
Acesso em linha:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5387671/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28236464
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(16)32381-9
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