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Natural frequencies improve Bayesian reasoning in simple and complex inference tasks

Representing statistical information in terms of natural frequencies rather than probabilities improves performance in Bayesian inference tasks. This beneficial effect of natural frequencies has been demonstrated in a variety of applied domains such as medicine, law, and education. Yet all the resea...

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Библиографические подробности
Опубликовано в: :Front Psychol
Главные авторы: Hoffrage, Ulrich, Krauss, Stefan, Martignon, Laura, Gigerenzer, Gerd
Формат: Artigo
Язык:Inglês
Опубликовано: Frontiers Media S.A. 2015
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Online-ссылка:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4604268/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26528197
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2015.01473
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