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Short-term Forecasting of the Prevalence of Trachoma: Expert Opinion, Statistical Regression, versus Transmission Models

BACKGROUND: Trachoma programs rely on guidelines made in large part using expert opinion of what will happen with and without intervention. Large community-randomized trials offer an opportunity to actually compare forecasting methods in a masked fashion. METHODS: The Program for the Rapid Eliminati...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Publicado no:PLoS Negl Trop Dis
Main Authors: Liu, Fengchen, Porco, Travis C., Amza, Abdou, Kadri, Boubacar, Nassirou, Baido, West, Sheila K., Bailey, Robin L., Keenan, Jeremy D., Solomon, Anthony W., Emerson, Paul M., Gambhir, Manoj, Lietman, Thomas M.
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicado em: Public Library of Science 2015
Assuntos:
Acesso em linha:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4547743/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26302380
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0004000
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