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Impact of hindcast length on estimates of seasonal climate predictability

It has recently been argued that single-model seasonal forecast ensembles are overdispersive, implying that the real world is more predictable than indicated by estimates of so-called perfect model predictability, particularly over the North Atlantic. However, such estimates are based on relatively...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Publicado no:Geophys Res Lett
Main Authors: Shi, W, Schaller, N, MacLeod, D, Palmer, T N, Weisheimer, A
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicado em: Blackwell Publishing Ltd 2015
Assuntos:
Acesso em linha:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4459196/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26074651
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL062829
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