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The Western Africa Ebola Virus Disease Epidemic Exhibits Both Global Exponential and Local Polynomial Growth Rates

Background: While many infectious disease epidemics are initially characterized by an exponential growth in time, we show that district-level Ebola virus disease (EVD) outbreaks in West Africa follow slower polynomial-based growth kinetics over several generations of the disease. Methods: We analyze...

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Veröffentlicht in:PLoS Curr
Hauptverfasser: Chowell, Gerardo, Viboud, Cécile, Hyman, James M, Simonsen, Lone
Format: Artigo
Sprache:Inglês
Veröffentlicht: Public Library of Science 2015
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Online Zugang:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4322058/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25685633
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1371/currents.outbreaks.8b55f4bad99ac5c5db3663e916803261
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