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Use (and abuse) of expert elicitation in support of decision making for public policy

The elicitation of scientific and technical judgments from experts, in the form of subjective probability distributions, can be a valuable addition to other forms of evidence in support of public policy decision making. This paper explores when it is sensible to perform such elicitation and how that...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor principal: Morgan, M. Granger
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicado em: National Academy of Sciences 2014
Assuntos:
Acesso em linha:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4034232/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24821779
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1319946111
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