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Statistical Basis for Predicting Technological Progress

Forecasting technological progress is of great interest to engineers, policy makers, and private investors. Several models have been proposed for predicting technological improvement, but how well do these models perform? An early hypothesis made by Theodore Wright in 1936 is that cost decreases as...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Main Authors: Nagy, Béla, Farmer, J. Doyne, Bui, Quan M., Trancik, Jessika E.
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicado em: Public Library of Science 2013
Assuntos:
Acesso em linha:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3585312/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23468837
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0052669
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