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Link between statistical equilibrium fidelity and forecasting skill for complex systems with model error

Understanding and improving the predictive skill of imperfect models for complex systems in their response to external forcing is a crucial issue in diverse applications such as for example climate change science. Equilibrium statistical fidelity of the imperfect model on suitable coarse-grained var...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Main Authors: Majda, Andrew J., Gershgorin, Boris
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicado em: National Academy of Sciences 2011
Assuntos:
Acesso em linha:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3150900/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21768334
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1108132108
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