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Predicting stochastic systems by noise sampling, and application to the El Niño-Southern Oscillation

Interannual and interdecadal prediction are major challenges of climate dynamics. In this article we develop a prediction method for climate processes that exhibit low-frequency variability (LFV). The method constructs a nonlinear stochastic model from past observations and estimates a path of the “...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Main Authors: Chekroun, Mickaël David, Kondrashov, Dmitri, Ghil, Michael
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicado em: National Academy of Sciences 2011
Assuntos:
Acesso em linha:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3141987/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21730171
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1015753108
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