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Is R(0) a good predictor of final epidemic size: Foot-and-Mouth Disease in the UK

One of the main uses of an epidemic model is to predict the scale of an outbreak from the first few cases. In a homogeneous and non-spatial model there is a straightforward relationship between the basic reproductive ratio, R(0), and the final epidemic size; however when there is a significant spati...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Main Authors: Tildesley, Michael J., Keeling, Matt J.
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicado em: 2009
Assuntos:
Acesso em linha:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2895684/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19269297
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2009.02.019
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