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Thin-Slice Forecasts of Gubernatorial Elections

We showed 10-second, silent video clips of unfamiliar gubernatorial debates to a group of experimental participants and asked them to predict the election outcomes. The participants’ predictions explain more than 20 percent of the variation in the actual two-party vote share across the 58 elections...

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Hlavní autoři: Benjamin, Daniel J., Shapiro, Jesse M.
Médium: Artigo
Jazyk:Inglês
Vydáno: 2009
Témata:
On-line přístup:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2860970/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20431718
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1162/rest.91.3.523
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