Representing Socio‐Economic Uncertainty in Human System Models

Abstract Socio‐economic development pathways and their implications for the environment are highly uncertain, and energy transitions will involve complex interactions among sectors. Here, traditional Monte Carlo analysis is paired with scenario discovery techniques to provide a richer portrait of th...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Main Authors: Jennifer Morris, John Reilly, Sergey Paltsev, Andrei Sokolov, Kenneth Cox
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicado em: American Geophysical Union (AGU) 2022-04-01
Colecção:Earth's Future
Assuntos:
uncertainty
socio‐economics
energy‐economic modeling
Monte Carlo analysis
scenario discovery
multisector dynamics
Acesso em linha:https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002239
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