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Initial atmospheric constraints limit the sub-seasonal prediction skill of the South China Sea Summer Monsoon onset

The onset time of the South China Sea summer monsoon (SCSSM) is widely recognized as being closely related to the distribution of summer rainfall belts in East Asia. This study examines the sub-seasonal prediction bias of SCSSM onset and investigates the associated oceanic and atmospheric processes...

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Principais autores: Qinghua Jiang, Xue Han, Boqi Liu, Fei Liu, Zhuoqi He, Tao Feng, Yanan Duan, Licheng Feng, Xingrong Chen, Lanning Wang
Format: Artigo
Sprog:Inglês
Udgivet: IOP Publishing 2025-01-01
Serier:Environmental Research Communications
Fag:
South China Sea summer monsoon onset
prediction skill
convective propagation
ECMWF sub-seasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) forecasting system
Online adgang:https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/adb9c2
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