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Assessment of Model Drifts in Seasonal Forecasting: Sensitivity to Ensemble Size and Implications for Bias Correction

Abstract Despite its systematic presence in state‐of‐the‐art seasonal forecasts, the model drift (leadtime‐dependent bias) has been seldom studied to date. To fill this gap, this work analyzes its spatiotemporal distribution, and its sensitivity to the ensemble size in temperature and precipitation...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor principal: Rodrigo Manzanas
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicado em: American Geophysical Union (AGU) 2020-03-01
coleção:Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
Assuntos:
Acesso em linha:https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001751
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