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Forecasting antimicrobial resistance in China using a hybrid ARIMA-GM(1,1) model

Abstract Objective To evaluate the application value of the ARIMA-GM(1,1) combined model in predicting the resistance rates of key drug-resistant bacteria in China, providing a scientific basis for optimizing antimicrobial management strategies. Methods Based on data from the China Antibacterial Res...

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Principais autores: Feng Liu, Caixia Dang, Hengliang Lv, Ziqian Zhao, Sijin Zhu, Yang Wang, Hongbin Song, Yuanyong Xu, Hui Chen
Format: Artigo
Sprog:Inglês
Udgivet: BMC 2025-08-01
Serier:BMC Infectious Diseases
Fag:
ARIMA-GM(1,1) model
Drug-resistant bacteria
Resistance rate
Prediction
Trend analysis
Online adgang:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-025-11483-4
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