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Testing for Bias in Forecasts for Independent Multinomial Outcomes

This paper deals with a test on forecast bias in predicting independent multinomial outcomes where the predictions are probabilities. The new Likelihood Ratio (and Wald) test extends the familiar Mincer Zarnowitz regression to a multinomial logit model instead of a linear regression. The test is eva...

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Váldodahkkit: Philip Hans Franses, Richard Paap
Materiálatiipa: Artigo
Giella:Inglês
Almmustuhtton: MDPI AG 2025-01-01
Ráidu:Forecasting
Fáttát:
Liŋkkat:https://www.mdpi.com/2571-9394/7/1/4
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