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Extreme Value Theory and Gold Price Extremes, 1975–2025: Long-Term Evidence on Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall

We analyze extreme gold price movements between 1975 and 2025 using Extreme Value Theory (EVT). Using both the Block-Maxima and Peaks-over-Threshold approaches on a daily return basis, we estimate Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) for the entire distribution focusing on a long-term vie...

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Bibliografische gegevens
Hoofdauteurs: Michael Bloss, Dietmar Ernst, Leander Geisinger
Formaat: Artigo
Taal:Inglês
Gepubliceerd in: MDPI AG 2025-10-01
Reeks:Commodities
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Online toegang:https://www.mdpi.com/2813-2432/4/4/24
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