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Bayesian Estimation of Advanced Warning Time of Precipitation Emergence

Abstract Climate models disagree on the direction of precipitation change over about half of the Earth. Current characterizations of expected change use the ensemble mean, which systematically underestimates the magnitude and overestimates the time of emergence (ToE) of precipitation change in regio...

Ausführliche Beschreibung

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Bibliografische Detailangaben
Hauptverfasser: Megan Lickley, Sarah Fletcher
Format: Artigo
Sprache:Inglês
Veröffentlicht: Wiley 2024-02-01
Schriftenreihe:Earth's Future
Schlagworte:
Online-Zugang:https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF004079
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