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The Foundations of Probability with Black Swans

We extend the foundation of probability in samples with rare events that are potentially catastrophic, called black swans, such as natural hazards, market crashes, catastrophic climate change, and species extinction. Such events are generally treated as ‘‘outliers’’ and disregarded. We propose a new...

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Détails bibliographiques
Auteur principal: Graciela Chichilnisky
Format: Artigo
Langue:Inglês
Publié: Wiley 2010-01-01
Collection:Journal of Probability and Statistics
Accès en ligne:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2010/838240
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