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Likelihood neglect bias and the mental simulations approach: An illustration using the old and new Monty Hall problems

This article introduces a new violation of a law of probability, likelihood neglect bias. The bias occurs when one is (i) aware that some evidence is more likely given one hypothesis rather than another but (ii) that evidence does not cause them to raise their probability for the former hypothesis r...

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Autor principal: John E. Wilcox
Format: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicat: Cambridge University Press 2024-01-01
Col·lecció:Judgment and Decision Making
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Accés en línia:https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1930297524000081/type/journal_article
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