On the Relationship Between Reliability Diagrams and the “Signal‐To‐Noise Paradox”
Abstract The “signal‐to‐noise paradox” for seasonal forecasts of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is often described as an “underconfident” forecast and measured using the ratio‐of‐predictable components (RPCs) metric. However, comparison of RPC with other measures of forecast confidence,...
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| Principais autores: | , , |
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| Format: | Artigo |
| Sprog: | Inglês |
| Udgivet: |
Wiley
2023-07-01
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| Serier: | Geophysical Research Letters |
| Fag: | |
| Online adgang: | https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL103710 |
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