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Very short-term probabilistic and scenario-based forecasting of solar irradiance using Markov-chain mixture distribution modeling

This study investigates probabilistic and scenario-based forecasting of solar irradiance with Markov-chain mixture (MCM) distribution modeling, Persistence Ensemble (PeEn) and Climatology. Forecasts from MCM models with uniform and empirical emission distribution settings, respectively, are compared...

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Hovedforfatter: Joakim Munkhammar
Format: Artigo
Sprog:Inglês
Udgivet: Elsevier 2024-01-01
Serier:Solar Energy Advances
Fag:
Solar irradiance
Probabilistic forecasting
Scenario-based forecasting
Markov-chain mixture distribution (MCM) forecasting
Online adgang:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S266711312400007X
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