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On the Sources and Sizes of Uncertainty in Predicting the Arrival Time of Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections Using Global MHD Models

Abstract Accurate predictions of the properties of interplanetary coronal mass ejection (ICME)‐driven disturbances are a key objective for space weather forecasts. The ICME's time of arrival (ToA) at Earth is an important parameter, and one that is amenable to a variety of modeling approaches. Previ...

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Autors principals: Pete Riley, Michal Ben‐Nun
Format: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicat: Wiley 2021-06-01
Col·lecció:Space Weather
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Accés en línia:https://doi.org/10.1029/2021SW002775
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