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Resolving the limits of MJO forecast skill: large-sample-based ensemble optimization in the IAP-CAS S2S model

The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is a key source of predictability for subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) forecasts, with important implications for early warning of high-impact weather and related disaster-risk reduction. However, in most S2S models, including IAP-CAS v1.3, the ensemble spread remain...

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Huvudupphov: Yangke Liu, Qing Bao, Jing Yang, Mengqian Lu, Tao Zhu, Xiaofei Wu, Bian He, Yimin Liu, Guoxiong Wu, Shentong Li, Yao Tang, Dandan Chen, Anling Liu
Materialtyp: Artigo
Språk:Inglês
Utgiven: Frontiers Media S.A. 2026-04-01
Serie:Frontiers in Climate
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Länkar:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fclim.2026.1828808/full
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