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Estimation of Uncertainty in Mortality Projections Using State-Space Lee-Carter Model

The study develops alternatives of the classical Lee-Carter stochastic mortality model in assessment of uncertainty of mortality rates forecasts. We use the Lee-Carter model expressed as linear Gaussian state-space model or state-space model with Markovian regime-switching to derive coherent estimat...

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Bibliografische gegevens
Hoofdauteurs: Rokas Gylys, Jonas Šiaulys
Formaat: Artigo
Taal:Inglês
Gepubliceerd in: MDPI AG 2020-06-01
Reeks:Mathematics
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Online toegang:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/8/7/1053
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