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Optimizing Disease Outbreak Forecast Ensembles

On the basis of historical influenza and COVID-19 forecasts, we found that more than 3 forecast models are needed to ensure robust ensemble accuracy. Additional models can improve ensemble performance, but with diminishing accuracy returns. This understanding will assist with the design of current...

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Hlavní autoři: Spencer J. Fox, Minsu Kim, Lauren Ancel Meyers, Nicholas G. Reich, Evan L. Ray
Médium: Artigo
Jazyk:Inglês
Vydáno: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2024-09-01
Edice:Emerging Infectious Diseases
Témata:
On-line přístup:https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/30/9/24-0026_article
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