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ENSO phase transition enables prediction of winter North Atlantic Oscillation one year ahead

Abstract The winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is a dominant mode of climate variability affecting temperature and precipitation across the Northern Hemisphere, yet its prediction at seasonal-to-decadal (S2D) lead times remains challenging. Here, using multi-year hindcasts from a multi-model e...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Kiwook Kim, Myong-In Lee, Adam A. Scaife, Doug M. Smith
Format: Artigo
Language:Inglês
Published: Nature Portfolio 2026-03-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-70646-2
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