Synthetic Ensemble Forecasts: Operations‐Based Evaluation and Inter‐Model Comparison for Reservoir Systems Across California

Abstract Synthetic ensemble forecasts are an important tool for testing the robustness of forecast‐informed reservoir operations (FIRO). These forecasts are statistically generated to mimic the skill of hindcasts derived from operational ensemble forecasting systems, but they can be created for time...

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Hlavní autoři:	Zachary P. Brodeur, William Taylor, Jonathan D. Herman, Scott Steinschneider
Médium:	Artigo
Jazyk:	Inglês
Vydáno:	Wiley 2025-06-01
Edice:	Water Resources Research
Témata:	forecast informed reservoir operations stochastic hydrology hydrologic forecasting probabilistic verification simulation and optimization uncertainty
On-line přístup:	https://doi.org/10.1029/2024WR039324
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