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A Framework for Conducting and Communicating Probabilistic Wildland Fire Forecasts

Fire models predict fire behavior and effects. However, there is a need to know how confident users can be in forecasts. This work developed a probabilistic methodology based on ensemble simulations that incorporated uncertainty in weather, fuel loading, and model physics parameters. It provided inf...

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Principais autores: Janice L. Coen, Gary W. Johnson, J. Shane Romsos, David Saah
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicado: MDPI AG 2024-07-01
Series:Fire
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Acceso en liña:https://www.mdpi.com/2571-6255/7/7/227
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