Uncertainty in population projections: the state of the art
In this paper I critically review the state of the art in population projections, focusing on how uncertainty is handled in three approaches: the classical cohort-component, the frequentist probabilistic model and the Bayesian paradigm. Next, I focus on recent developments on mortality, fertility an...
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| Format: | Artigo |
| Sprache: | Inglês |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Associação Brasileira de Estudos Populacionais
2014-12-01
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| Schriftenreihe: | Revista Brasileira de Estudos de População |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | http://www.scielo.br/pdf/rbepop/v31n2/a03v31n2.pdf |
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